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How does the price of kerosene fluctuate seasonally?

April 5, 2026

Quick Answer

Kerosene prices tend to peak during winter months when demand is high, and fluctuate based on supply chain disruptions and regional factors.

Seasonal Demand Patterns

Kerosene prices often increase during the winter months (December to February) due to heightened demand for indoor heating. As the temperature drops, households rely more heavily on kerosene heaters to stay warm, driving up prices. In contrast, prices tend to be lower during the summer months (June to August) when demand is lower.

Supply Chain Disruptions

Regional supply chain disruptions can also impact kerosene prices. For example, if there’s a shortage of kerosene production or transportation issues, prices may surge. This is particularly relevant in areas with limited refining capacity or where transportation costs are high. In 2019, a kerosene shortage in the UK led to price increases of up to 50% due to a combination of supply chain disruptions and high demand.

Regional Pricing Variations

Kerosene prices also vary significantly by region. According to data from the US Energy Information Administration, the average retail price of kerosene in the US ranged from $2.50 per gallon in the Midwest to over $4.00 per gallon on the West Coast in 2022. These regional price differences are influenced by local market conditions, taxes, and transportation costs. To minimize the impact of seasonal price fluctuations, it’s essential to research and understand local market conditions and storage options for kerosene.

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