Hunt & Live

Erie County, NY

950,312 residents · 1,043 sq mi · 911.4/sq mi · 10% rural

Climate
47.7°F
41.6" rain/yr
Water
humid
Aridity index 1.98
Hardiness
Zone 7b
Winter low ~6.9°F

About Erie County

Erie County is a county along the shore of Lake Erie in the western region of the U.S. state of New York. As of the 2020 census, the population was 954,236. However, in 2025 the estimated population was 946,741. The county seat is Buffalo, which makes up about 28% of the county's population. Both the county and Lake Erie were named for the regional Iroquoian language-speaking Erie tribe of Native Americans, who lived in the area before 1654. They were later pushed out by the more powerful Iroquoian nations tribes. The county is part of the Western New York region of the state.

15
Prepper Suitability
worsebetter
National rank: #2984 of 3,109
Locator map
Location within the continental US

Prepper Assessment

The county features a humid climate with an annual mean temperature of 47.7°F, 41.6 inches of rainfall per year, and USDA zone 7b, making it suitable for a variety of crops. The terrain is mostly flat, with access to Lake Erie providing opportunities for fishing and water-related activities. However, the growing season may be limited compared to warmer regions, and the high population density of 911.4 people per square mile may reduce the availability of large tracts of land for self-sufficient living.

Natural hazards pose significant risks in this area, with the county ranking in the 98th percentile for disaster risk. Cold waves, winter weather, and riverine flooding are notable concerns, which could impact food security and infrastructure. Additionally, the cost of living is moderate, with a median home price of $197,400 and a property tax rate of 2.22%. While the area is relatively safe from violence, with an 8th percentile ranking, the density may lead to competition for resources.

This county may suit individuals who prefer a community-oriented environment with access to urban amenities, as it is home to Buffalo. Those looking for a more remote, self-sufficient lifestyle may find the high population density and natural hazard risks challenging. The hidden gem for homesteaders could be the access to water from Lake Erie, while the dealbreaker may be the limited growing season and vulnerability to severe winter weather.

AI-generated analysis based on county data (climate, hazards, density, housing, economy). For general orientation only.

Key Facts

Ranked #2,544 nationally
Out of 3,109 CONUS counties for composite prepper suitability.
#61 of 62 in NY
Ranked #61 of 62 counties statewide for prepper suitability.
Dominant hazard: cold wave
FEMA ranks cold wave risk at 100/100 here — the leading natural threat.
Urban: 911/sqmi
Densely populated at 911 people per square mile.
Climate profile
Classified as humid with a 47.7°F annual mean and 41.6" of annual precipitation. USDA hardiness zone 7b.
Housing & taxes
Median home value $197,400.

Score Breakdown

Violence
64
percentile (lower = safer)
Disasters
98
percentile (lower = safer)
Density
95
percentile (lower = emptier)
Overall FEMA Risk
97.7
NRI composite (0-100)

Natural Hazard Profile (FEMA NRI)

Avalanche 24
Coastal Flood 44
Cold Wave 100
Drought 36
Earthquake 86
Hail 42
Hurricane 71
Heat Wave 95
Riverine Flood 99
Ice Storm 94
Landslide 52
Lightning 86
Strong Wind 80
Tornado 95
Wildfire 63
Winter Weather 100

Monthly Climate (1991–2020 normals)

Average temperature
JFMAMJ JASOND
Monthly precipitation (inches)
JFMAMJ JASOND
Summer high
80.2°F
Winter low
16.9°F
Heating degree days
6,724
Cooling degree days
454

Housing & Economy

Median home value
$197,400
Median HH income
$68,014
Price to income
2.9×
Property tax rate
2.22%
~$4,392/yr median

Community Profile

Median age
40.1
Homeownership
65.2%
Poverty rate
13.8%
Unemployment
4.9%

Connectivity

Broadband households
74.8%
No internet access
9.6%

Explore Erie County Further

Similar Counties

Data sources. Prepper scores are national percentile ranks of firearm fatalities (County Health Rankings 2024 / CDC WONDER), FEMA National Risk Index 2023 composite disaster score, and population density (ACS 2022 + TIGER 2022 land area). Climate from NOAA nClimDiv 1991–2020 normals. Hardiness zone is estimated from climate data and may differ from the official USDA PHZM. Demographics and housing from Census ACS 5-year 2022. All scores are for comparison purposes only and do not constitute advice about where to live.